Unveiling 2023-2024 NFL Season Projections
As the NFL gears up for the 2023 season, anticipation and speculation are at an all-time high. Kansas City is hungry for continued success after its Super Bowl victory, so the stage is set for an exciting year.
Factors like holdouts, injuries, trades, and team chemistry have all played into crafting these predictions, bolstered by Vegas odds. Join us in dissecting the potential fates of all of the NFL teams in this comprehensive article.
Dallas Cowboys: Over 9.5 Wins
In the upcoming 2023 NFL season, the Dallas Cowboys are poised to achieve a 10-7 record. With the Washington Commanders facing off-field and on-field turmoil and the New York Giants lacking depth beyond Barkley and Jones, the Cowboys are set to secure second place in the NFC East.
The Philadelphia Eagles, fresh off a Super Bowl appearance, are favored for first. A key factor for the Cowboys' success is Dak Prescott avoiding a 15 INT season.
Buffalo Bills: Over 10.5 Wins
The Buffalo Bills endured a forgettable 2022 season, plagued by QB Josh Allen's 14 interceptions and Stefon Diggs' public dissatisfaction with his role in the offense. The division became even tougher with Aaron Rodgers joining the New York Jets.
In place of the controversies and disappointing playoff result, the Bills should still finish 2023 with a 12-5 record and claim first place in the AFC East, showcasing their resilience and determination.
Cincinnati Bengals: Over 11.5 Wins
The Cincinnati Bengals are once again poised as Super Bowl contenders and clear favorites in the AFC North. Their impressive 2022 season (12-4) led to an agonizing AFC championship loss to the Chiefs (23-20).
The team's third consecutive championship ride hinges on QB Joe Burrow's health after a pre-2023 calf injury. Predicting over 11.5 wins, they might achieve a 12-5 record this year.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Over 8.5 Wins
Under Mike Tomlin's guidance, the Pittsburgh Steelers remain competitive, with oddsmakers favoring them for over 8.5 wins. Tomlin's wizardry managed to earn the team a 9-8 record in 2022. The Steelers' subdued offseason projects another 9-8 season in 2023.
Barring exceptional progress from QB Kenny Pickett, a middling performance appears to be the Steelers' likely path.
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 11.5 Wins
Following a strong 2022 season with 14 wins and a Super Bowl appearance, the Philadelphia Eagles faced notable off-season departures on offense and defense.
Although Jalen Hurts returns from an impressive 2022, transitioning from the easiest to the toughest schedule spells challenges. Despite predictions of over 11.5 wins, replicating past success will likely lead to a 12-5 record at best.
New York Giants: Over 7.5 Wins
Despite a remarkable upswing in performance by New York Giants QB Daniel Jones, the odds are dim for injury-prone RB Saquon Barkley.
Contract disputes, minimal offseason changes, and their fierce NFC rivals suggest a tough 2023 season. Predicted at over 7.5 wins, odds point to a 9-8 record, mirroring 2022.
New York Jets: Over 9.5 Wins
Securing QB Aaron Rodgers comes with high hopes for the New York Jets, surpassing their 7-10 record. Bolstered by a strong defense and offensive additions, they challenge AFC elites like the Chiefs and Bengals.
Competition from the Bills and Dolphins looms, but Vegas predicts over 9.5 wins. The Jets will conclude 2023 at 10-7.
Washington Commanders: Under 6.5 Wins
Facing the fierce competition of the NFC East in 2022, the Washington Commanders posted an 8-8-1 record, landing last in the division. Without notable offseason changes and with off-field shifts like team sale, Commanders seem set for NFC East's bottom.
An anticipated 6-11 regression for 2023 reflects their talent gap within the AFC, complicating prospects for improvement.
Miami Dolphins: Under 9.5 Wins
The Miami Dolphins appear poised for a challenging 2023 NFL season, coming off an impressive 9-8 record in 2022. Key concerns surround the health of QB Tua Tagovailoa. Can he stay on the field consistently?
Oddsmakers predict an 8-9 record, with doubts lingering due to his injury history. Underlying reservations and a projected 8.5-win mark indicate a potential step back for the Dolphins.
Chicago Bears: Under 7 Wins
After a disappointing 3-win 2022 season, the Chicago Bears are primed for improvement in 2023. Despite the optimism, oddsmakers predict a 6-11 finish, tempered by the notion that QB Justin Fields will not catch their foes off guard.
Added weapons may uplift from 2022, but playoff hopes seem dim, likely leaving fans disheartened again in 2023.
Green Bay Packers: Under 7.5 Wins
The Green Bay Packers face a challenging season with QB Aaron Rodgers' departure to the Jets. Oddsmakers anticipate a downturn, projecting a 6-11 record due to the leadership void.
The spotlight now shines on untested QB Jordan Love, who lacks full-season experience after backing up Rodgers. The transition raises concerns about the team's performance in 2023.
Detroit Lions: Over 9.5 Wins
The ("Biting Kneecaps") Detroit Lions have shed their NFL laughingstock status after a stunning 9-8 season in 2022. With Aaron Rodgers gone and the Bears declining, they're poised for a second-place finish.
Oddsmakers project over 9.5 wins, forecasting a 10-7 record in 2023. The combo of QB Jared Goff's Super Bowl experience and consistency fuels optimism for a brighter future.
New England Patriots: Over 7.5 Wins
Harnessing his extensive experience and football acumen, New England Patriots Head Coach Bill Belichick has proven his ability to cultivate competitiveness. Following Tom Brady's departure, Belichick's strategic prowess remains paramount.
The mixture of a challenging start to the 2023 schedule, and a fierce AFC East division featuring strong rivals like the Bills, Dolphins, and Jets, oddsmakers predict a 9-8 season, placing the Patriots lower in their division.
Baltimore Ravens: Over 9.5 Wins
In the highly anticipated 2023 season, the Baltimore Ravens are poised for a remarkable resurgence. With star QB Lamar Jackson's return from injury for a full campaign and the acquisition of the formidable Odell Beckham Jr. as a new offensive weapon, the Ravens are poised for greatness.
Building upon their 10-7 record in 2022, a robust 12-5 finish in 2023 appears within reach, signaling a promising year ahead.
Kansas City Chiefs: Over 11.5 Wins
The Kansas City Chiefs embark on a formidable journey to defend their Super Bowl title in 2023, confronting a relentless string of powerhouse opponents. Challenges and hurdles aside, their championship mettle remains undeniable.
Bolstered by the incomparable Patrick Mahomes at QB and an abundance of offensive riches, they're favored to win over 11.5 games. Predicting a triumphant 14-3 finish, the Chiefs emerge as the NFL's premier force.
Indianapolis Colts: Under 6.5 Wins
The Indianapolis Colts' 2022 season unraveled with a lack of roster improvements, a discontented star running back in Jonathan Taylor, and misguided leadership from owner Jim Irsay.
Their dismal 4-12 finish likely will be followed by a disheartening 2023 season, with oddsmakers predicting a repeat performance, solidifying their spot in the NFL's basement with under 6.5 wins.
New Orleans Saints: Under 9.5 Wins
The New Orleans Saints aim to rebound from their 2022 finish of 7-10, bolstered by the addition of QB Derek Carr and his playoff experience from the Las Vegas Raiders.
While odds favor under 9.5 wins, the NFC South's weakened landscape post-Tom Brady's retirement offers hope for a division title push. However, 2023 seems destined for another average season with a potential early playoff exit.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Under 6.5 Wins
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are facing an uphill battle for the last spot in the NFC South this year. The retirement of Tom Brady leaves a void that's hard to fill, and an aging roster lacking upgrades compounds their struggles.
With a lackluster 2022 finish relying solely on Brady, expectations are grim. Vegas oddsmakers predict under 6.5 wins, foreseeing a 5-12 finish for the Bucs in 2023.
Houston Texans: Over 5.5 Wins
In Houston, there will be a problem in 2023. The Houston Texans had a dismal 2022, scraping by with only three wins. Oddsmakers predict more challenges, causing distress for fans and staff alike. However, a glimmer of hope shines on the horizon.
Relatively newbie QB CJ Stroud's consistent growth fuels optimism for 2023, with a projected 7-10 record surpassing 5.5 wins. Anticipation builds as the Texans aim to rise from their previous ineptitude.
Tennessee Titans: Under 7.5 Wins
In the AFC South, the Texans and Colts vie for the lower ranks, leaving the Jaguars as the main rivals to the Titans' supremacy. After a surprising 2022 division lead, the Jaguars may regress, creating an opportunity for the Titans.
Uncertainties linger about the QB direction, with Ryan Tannehill's starter status and Derrick Henry's health concerns casting shadows on their ambitions to surpass the odds with a 6-11 record, defying a predicted under 7.5 wins in 2023.
Cleveland Browns: Over 9.5 Wins
Cleveland Browns fans and coaches eagerly anticipate the 2023 season, wanting to disprove their Vegas' projection of a 7-10 record. With odds favoring under 9.5 wins, hopes center on QB Deshaun Watson's comeback from suspension.
Drawing inspiration from his past Houston performance, Cleveland envisions a Pro-Bowl-worthy season, banking on Watson's revival at the helm.
Atlanta Falcons: Over 8 Wins
After a surprisingly solid 7-10 run in 2022, the Atlanta Falcons gear up for 2023 with oddsmakers eyeing over eight wins, aiming for a division-winning 10-7 mark and playoff assurance.
Despite a lukewarm 14-20 record, Head Coach Arthur Smith, aboard since 2021, seeks to revive the "Dirty Birds" legacy and lead a postseason charge like the Super Bowl XXXIII runner-up in 1999.
Las Vegas Raiders: Under 7.5 Wins
The Las Vegas Raiders' 2023 schedule includes challenging matchups against AFC West rivals Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, and formidable NFC teams from New York in the Jets and Giants.
The tough competition prompts oddsmakers to predict the Raiders falling short of 7.5 wins. However, they make strides, ending at 9-8, up from 2022's six wins.
Los Angeles Rams: Under 7.5 Wins
Following a challenging 2022 marked by injuries, the Los Angeles Rams aim to rebound in 2023. Even with a projection of over 7.5 wins, Vegas oddsmakers foresee a struggle for a winning record after the Rams' Super Bowl victory in the previous year.
With determination, the 2021 champions are expected to finish the 2023 NFL season at 9-8.
Los Angeles Chargers: Over 9.5 Wins
The Los Angeles Chargers must navigate their demanding December lineup in 2023 while contending with an influx of AFC talent. Predictions suggest they will exceed 9.5 wins, ending 9-8.
Quarterback Justin Herbert's progress will be the key against a tougher AFC compared to last year, determining their success in this competitive landscape.
Minnesota Vikings: Over 8.5 Wins
Bolstered by standout receiver Justin Jefferson and a solid defense, QB Kirk Cousins boasts impressive regular season stats. However, playoff success has eluded the Vikings. Cousins' 10-18 prime-time record raises concerns about his performance under pressure.
With the ascending Detroit team in their division, predictions peg the Vikings to surpass 8.5 wins, aligning with a 9-8 projection, a far cry from their 13-win 2022 season.
San Francisco 49ers: Under 11 Wins
Despite the 49ers' abundant talent across all positions and a healthy roster for training camp, uncertainties loom for 2023. San Fran does get some consideration considering how well they performed in the 2022 playoffs after losing their starting quarterback and backups in one game.
With no clear number one QB established following Jimmy Garoppolo's departure, oddsmakers predict a challenging season. Favoring the assessment, they foresee under 11 wins and a projected 10-7 record.
Seattle Seahawks: Over 8.5 Wins
The Seahawks could secure a 2023 NFL postseason spot by default, benefiting from a weakened NFC West. While the 49ers dominate, second place could snag a Wild Card.
QB Geno Smith's 2022 career revival was only enough for a 9-8 season. Oddsmakers anticipate over 8.5 wins, predicting a consistent 9-8 outcome for 2023.
Denver Broncos: Under 9 Wins
The Denver Broncos' hiring of former New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton brings a fresh wave of optimism in 2023 after a dismal 2022 with only three wins.
With high-priced QB Russell Wilson entering his second season with Denver and now under Peyton's guidance, expectations surrounding them will be much higher. Anticipate a notable rebound, but foresee a 9-8 record for the upcoming season.
Arizona Cardinals: Under 5.5 Wins
Hopeful Arizona Cardinals fans yearn for competitiveness in 2023, but odds-makers paint a grim picture. Following a meager four-win 2022, expectations dwindle with a projected three-win season.
Injuries and limitations surround QB Kyler Murray, leading a struggling team devoid of talent, coaching, and optimism. Foresee under 5.5 wins, ending with a somber 3-14 record.
Carolina Panthers: Under 7.5 Wins
Even with a weak division, the Carolina Panthers are projected to have a pretty rough season, with a prediction of under 7.5 wins.
According to sports betting analyst Doug Kezirian, the very low projection has to do with the Panthers quarterback, Bryce Young. As a rookie, Kezirian doesn't have high hopes for Young as a playmaker.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Over 9.5 Wins
While the Jacksonville Jaguars had an oddly good season during 2022-2023, sports betting analysts are still skeptical about how they will do in the 2023-2024 season.
Their projection is over 9.5 wins, but analyst Erin Dolan says, "I am concerned that Jacksonville is overhyped with a win total this high given it has won more than nine games only once over the past 15 years. There are more pros than cons for the Jags, but I'm not willing to bet over or under on the win total."
